Skip to content
Subscriber Only

Decoupling With U.S. Would Cut China’s Growth to 3.5%, Says Study

  • China’s growth would fall to 1.6% if U.S. allies also decouple
  • Bloomberg Economics estimates effect on potential growth
Views of the Yangshan Container Port Ahead of China Trade Figures
Photographer: Qilai Shen/Bloomberg

Supply Lines is a daily newsletter that tracks Covid-19’s impact on trade. Sign up here, and subscribe to our Covid-19 podcast for the latest news and analysis on the pandemic.

The worsening conflict between China and the U.S. has damaged bilateral trade, but a complete decoupling between the two largest global economies would be even more damaging to China’s long-term growth prospects, according to Bloomberg Economics.