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Prognosis

Mexico Deaths Point to Cases in the Millions

  • Mexico Covid-19 deaths will pass those of the U.K. within days
  • Sky-high deaths don’t jibe with low virus infection rates

In a day or two, Mexico will overtake the U.K. as the hot spot with the third-highest number of Covid-19 deaths globally. In a nation with relatively low reported infections, that’s a major red flag.

Based on official tallies, one out of every nine people diagnosed with the disease in Mexico dies. According to Amesh A. Adalja, an infectious disease specialist at Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, that would mean either the virus is far deadlier in Mexico than elsewhere -- and there’s no reason to think that’s the case -- or the reported number of infections is a gross undercount.