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South Korea Coronavirus Cases May Peak at 10,000, JPMorgan Says

People buy face masks at a retail store in Daegu on Feb. 25.
People buy face masks at a retail store in Daegu on Feb. 25.Photographer: Jung Yeon-je/AFP via Getty Images

The coronavirus might infect as many as 10,000 people in South Korea at what could be a peak next month, according to a report from JPMorgan Chase & Co. citing its insurance team’s epidemiology model.

That scenario assumes a 3% initial exposed group out of about 2.4 million people in Daegu Metropolitan City and a secondary infection rate based on China’s experience with the virus, analysts led by JJ Park wrote in the note dated Feb. 24.