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Coronavirus May Infect Up to 500,000 in Wuhan Before It Peaks

  • Study projects mid-to-late-February coronavirus peak in Wuhan
  • By then, at least 1 in 20 residents might have been infected
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What Is the Coronavirus?
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The new coronavirus might have infected at least 500,000 people in Wuhan, the Chinese city at the epicenter of the global outbreak, by the time it peaks in coming weeks. But most of those people won’t know it.

The typically bustling megacity, where the so-called 2019-nCoV virus emerged late last year, has been in effective lockdown since Jan. 23, restricting the movement of 11 million people. Recent trends in reported cases in Wuhan broadly support the preliminary mathematical modeling the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine is using to predict the epidemic’s transmission dynamics.