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South Africa’s Risk Premium Limits Room for Rate Cuts, SARB Says

  • Inflation not yet securely anchored at 4.5%, central bank says
  • Cost of postponing structural reforms in economy is rising
South African Reserve Bank Governor Lesetja Kganyago Interview
Photographer: Waldo Swiegers/Bloomberg
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The South African Reserve Bank’s ability to cut interest rates to boost the economy is limited by political and policy uncertainty and inflation that’s still not sufficiently anchored at the midpoint of its target range.

Investors pay a premium for South African debt to compensate for the risk of holding it and this constrains monetary policy by raising the interest rate needed to stabilize inflation, the central bank said in its bi-annual Monetary Policy Review on Tuesday. That’s partly due to deteriorating fiscal metrics caused by bailouts for state-owned companies such as Eskom Holdings SOC Ltd.