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Goldman Sees Yuan Gaining in Reserves at Cost to Dollar, Yen

  • Inflows into Chinese bonds have accelerated despite yuan slide
  • Reallocation from Japanese bonds could be 12% of foreign total
Yuan And Dollar Banknotes Ahead Of Tenth Anniversary Of China's Yuan Reform
Photographer: Xaume Olleros/Bloomberg
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China’s currency is set to take an increasing share of world foreign-exchange reserves, with the dollar and yen having to make the most room proportionally for the newcomer on the block, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

An acceleration in foreign inflows into Chinese fixed income in recent months -- despite a tumble in the yuan -- has showcased the power of allocation demand for the world’s No. 3 bond market. Central banks will probably account for $250 billion of an estimated $1 trillion of net inflows into Chinese bonds in the five years through 2022, Goldman analysts said.