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Berlusconi May Be Closer to Italian Majority Than Polls Show

  • Center-right only 2 percentage points away from majority
  • Pollster says right-wing votes are often underestimated
Silvio Berlusconi

Silvio Berlusconi

Photographer: Alessia Pierdomenico/Bloomberg
Updated on

Polls may be downplaying the chances that a center-right coalition backed by former Premier Silvio Berlusconi will win a majority in upcoming Italian elections on March 4.

The so-called “shy-factor” in the polling process, which underestimates voting intentions for right-wing parties, and a new electoral law that favors coalitions, may give Berlusconi’s bloc enough seats to form a government, according to Lorenzo Pregliasco, managing director of Agenzia Quorum, which manages pollster YouTrend.it.