Nigeria MPC Unlikely to Hold Meeting Next WeekBy , , and
Senate not considering confirmation of new MPC members
Committee is scheduled to announce decision on Jan. 23
It’s unlikely that the Nigerian central bank’s Monetary Policy Committee will meet as scheduled next week to decide on interest rates because new committee members haven’t been approved, according to two people with knowledge of the matter.
The nation’s Senate has yet to approve the appointment of at least five new MPC members, which means the committee will probably not be able meet to discuss policy decisions, or make an announcement on interest rates on Jan. 23, the people said, asking not to be identified because the potential delay hasn’t been publicly announced.
“We are not considering the confirmation” of the MPC members, Rafiu Ibrahim, the head of the senate banking committee, said by phone from Abuja on Friday, without commenting on a possible delay. “The senate has an issue with the executive. Anything to do with a confirmation will not be considered.”
The MPC has kept the key rate at a record high 14 percent since July 2016, trying to balance bringing down inflation and boosting an economy that exited recession last year. While inflation is at the lowest in 20 months, all but one of the 11 economists in a Bloomberg survey forecast the committee will still keep policy unchanged.
Governor Godwin Emefiele said earlier this week that he was “very hopeful” that the meeting will take place as scheduled. The MPC currently meets six times a year, while the Central Bank Act requires the committee to gather only a minimum of four times per year.
In case the meeting doesn’t take place in January “we will just have a few weeks postponement,” he said.
Emefiele said he expected the MPC to keep the monetary policy rate unchanged. That means market reaction to the delay would be muted, said Joe Delvaux, a money manager at Duet Asset Management Ltd. in London.
“It won’t change investors’ positioning in the market much, but it would put into question the political impact on Nigeria’s institutions,” he said. “One could ask the question of how it is even possible to end up in a situation where the monetary policy of a country can’t be enacted due to too many MPC seats being empty.”
— With assistance by Ruth Olurounbi, and Paul Wallace