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Bond Traders' Post-Fed Playbook Is for Even Flatter Yield Curve

  • Treasury spreads drop to lowest since September after hike
  • Curve signals chance dots may prove accurate, MUFG says
Updated on

In the eyes of bond traders, the Federal Reserve didn’t concede much ground in its latest decision.

Measures of the yield curve broadly flattened after Wednesday’s Fed meeting. Shorter-dated securities underperformed after officials tightened by a quarter-point and left their median projections for the path of rates unchanged for 2017 and 2018. The result surprised some investors, after a batch of disappointing data released in the morning convinced them to wager that policy makers would ratchet back forecasts for further normalization.