Betting a 20-1 Longshot Bomb in the Belmont: David PapadopoulosBy
Twisted Tom is the perfect horse for the Belmont Stakes
Trainer Chad Brown seeks back-to-back Triple Crown victories
It took wunderkind racehorse trainer Chad Brown a decade to capture his first Triple Crown trophy. I’m betting his second one comes just three weeks later.
That was Cloud Computing.
This is Twisted Tom.
And Tom, to be frank, has his problems. He’s slow -- on a speed-figure scale, he’s not even close to the top Belmont contenders -- and he’s never faced elite competition like this before. But he also has some things going for him: He’s won three races in a row, he’s training well and he’s drawn a favorable inside post position for the race. What’s more, that grind-it-out, slow-and-steady way he has about him is perfect for the marathon Belmont distance of 1 1/2 miles.
At expected odds of 20-1, I like the risk-reward equation.
I’m betting Tom to win and will also weave him into an exacta box with Tapwrit, a talented colt who finished a respectable sixth in the Kentucky Derby after a rough start. To try to further juice returns, I’ll pair Tom up in a Daily Double wager with a horse named Time Test in the race prior to the Belmont. Unlike Tom, there’s nothing slow about Time Test. He can flat-out run.
(David Papadopoulos, a managing editor at Bloomberg News, is a voter in the thoroughbred industry’s annual Eclipse Awards. He has been publishing his Triple Crown picks since 2012.)