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Quarter of Miles Traveled in the U.S. by 2030 Seen as Driverless

  • Shared, autonomous EVs to transform auto sector, study finds
  • Boston Consulting Group says carmakers not moving fast enough

A quarter of all miles driven in the U.S. could be in shared, self-driving electric cars by the end of the next decade, setting off a seismic shift that will upend the auto industry, according to a study on the rise of the autonomous age.

A convergence of three trends -- ride sharing, autonomous driving and vehicle electrification -- will drive the shift, the Boston Consulting Group said in a study released Monday. The change will be most profound in cities with more than 1 million people, where consumers will find it more economically advantageous to exit their personal vehicles and start hailing robot taxis.