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The pound drops, the yuan falls, and Fed hawks circle. Here are some of the things people in markets are talking about today.
The British pound was trading 1.1 percent lower at $1.2148 as of 4:55 a.m. ET following comments over the weekend from Prime Minister Theresa May which stoked fears that the U.K. will lose access to Europe's single market. In an interview with Sky News she said that regaining control of immigration and lawmaking are a greater priority than membership of the single market. Meanwhile, data from Halifax this morning showed U.K. home prices had a strong end to 2016, but the U.K. mortgage lender warned growth is likely to slow in 2017.
The Chinese currency's lively start to the year continued overnight, with the offshore yuan dropping 0.4 percent by 5:20 a.m. ET, adding to a 0.9 percent fall on Friday. Last week, a short squeeze helped the currency to a record weekly advance. Over the weekend, the People’s Bank of China revealed that the country's foreign reserve holdings fell for a sixth month in December to $3.01 trillion, down from a record $4 trillion in June 2014. Fan Gang, an adviser to the People's Bank of China, said that additional measures to stem capital outflows are unlikely.
With just over a year remaining on Janet Yellen's current term as chair of the Federal Reserve, comments from three of her potential successors at this this weekend's annual American Economic Association meeting are noteworthy. Glenn Hubbard of Columbia University, along with Stanford University’s John Taylor and Kevin Warsh, are all seen by Fed watchers as potential future chairs should President-elect Donald Trump decide not to re-nominate Yellen. All three criticized the U.S. central bank for trying to do too much, and suggested interest rates would be higher if they were in charge.
Overnight, the MSCI Asia Pacific excluding Japan Index gained 0.1 percent, with Japanese markets closed for a holiday. In Europe, the Stoxx 600 Index was 0.4 percent lower at 5:22 a.m. ET while U.K. stocks traded higher as the pound fell. S&P 500 futures dropped 0.1 percent.
U.K. woos Trump
British Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson is in Washington this week as the U.K. seeks to strengthen ties with the incoming administration. The president-elect tweeted yesterday that he is looking forward to meeting Theresa May following his inauguration. Meanwhile, speculation is mounting that the PEOTUS will follow through on threats to label China a currency manipulator at the new review in April, despite the country only meeting one of the three criteria specified by the Obama administration.
What we've been reading
This is what's caught our eye over the weekend.
- Odd Lots Podcast. Here's what's going to happen in 2017.
- One of Wall Street's legendary bulls has turned bearish.
- Older Americans are retiring in droves.
- McDonald's sells 80 percent of its China operations.
- Meet some alternatives to the Big Mac index.
- There's no free ride for bitcoin in China.
- Ray Dalio has a solution to fake news.