Mexico’s government and the analysts who cover the economy have never been further apart on their growth expectations. It’s essentially a disagreement on how much concern Donald Trump presents.
The Finance Ministry maintained its forecast for expansion in 2017 on Wednesday, saying the economy can grow as much as 3 percent even with Trump as U.S. president. A day earlier, private-sector economists reduced their estimate to 1.8 percent from 2.3 percent, according to a survey by Citigroup Inc. The 2.5 percent midpoint of the Finance Ministry’s forecast is higher than any prediction in the survey.