China Sure to Meet Full-Year Economic Targets, Premier SaysBloomberg News
After three quarters of 6.7% growth, 2016 GDP target is safe
Easy monetary policy and fiscal spending have supported growth
It’s mission accomplished for China’s economy.
China is confident it will achieve its major full-year targets and tasks, Premier Li Keqiang said at a seminar in Beijing, according to state media reports late Tuesday. China should stabilize and improve macro policies and will expand aggregate demand moderately, Li said. He called for steadying employment and promoting innovation.
The economy’s stabilization this year has come on the back of easy monetary policy and a ramp up in fiscal support, ensuring the government’s full-year growth target of 6.5 percent to 7 percent will be met. Policy makers are now turning attention to reining in excesses spurred by such stimulus, including debt risks and surging home prices in major cities.
"With real economic activity now better stabilized in general and the government still concerned about the need for financial and macro risk controls, October’s property strength may induce a further tightening of property policies," economists led by Wang Tao at UBS Group AG in Hong Kong wrote in a recent note. "We see no change to benchmark interest rates through 2018."
Donald Trump’s election victory has complicated China’s policy outlook, with threats to slap tariffs of up to 45 percent on imports from the nation and label China as a currency manipulator.
"Uncertainties have increased abroad. Regions and industries have diverged at home. Both pose relatively big challenges to the economy," Li was quoted as saying.
Authorities may allow slightly more yuan depreciation as the U.S. dollar strengthens post election, Wang at UBS and her team wrote.
A weakening yuan, while offering no sustained boost to exporters in the face of tepid global demand, has at least cushioned the blow on their local currency earnings. Meantime, four years of factory deflation has also abated, boosting industrial profits.
— With assistance by Yinan Zhao