UPS Puts $5.3 Billion in Air Power Behind Overseas ExpansionBy
U.S. package giant’s international growth outstrips domestic
Order of 747s marks courier’s first jet purchase since 2013
Daily package volume in UPS’s international division has climbed 58 percent in the past decade. U.S. volume, meanwhile, has increased just 16 percent. Though overseas volume remains smaller -- 2.8 million packages in the third quarter internationally versus 15.4 million in the U.S. -- the China and Hong Kong markets have been particularly strong recently.
Business among small and midsize Chinese companies is “growing at rates we’ve never seen before,” James Barber Jr., international president, said Thursday on a conference call after the Atlanta-based company reported earnings. Overseas operating profit jumped 14 percent in the past quarter from a year earlier, UPS said.
The 747-8 freighters primarily will be used on routes with heavy package volumes between the U.S. and Asia, Europe and the Middle East, said UPS spokesman Mike Mangeot. The greater size of the 747-8 will allow UPS to carry more packages than it currently can with 747-4 jets, which will be redeployed to the U.S. The courier has 237 aircraft in its own fleet and uses 413 more from vendors, according to a regulatory filing earlier this year.
The 747 order was the courier’s first aircraft purchase since 2013, prompting R.W. Baird & Co. analyst Ben Hartford to label the intervening three years a “capex holiday of sorts.” The order is warranted, he said, as the courier recorded double-digit growth in Asian exports in the third quarter and smaller gains within Europe.
The holiday’s end worried some investors, though, concerned that UPS may have to cut back on its share buybacks and dividends as it puts more cash toward capital expenses.
“The underlying air market is not strong enough to support that kind of expansion,” said Jack Atkins, an analyst at Stephens Inc. “Obviously, they feel like that plane fits in well with their network.”
UPS also has options for 14 more 747 freighters. Discounts are customary on large aircraft purchases.
After the plane order was announced, UPS’s shares dropped as much 2.5 percent -- the biggest intraday drop in almost three months -- before rebounding. The stock ended the day down just 0.5 percent in New York at $108.08.
Chief Executive Officer David Abney said the company’s investments will boost free cash flow as they generate business and already have paid off with seven consecutive quarters of double-digit profit growth in the international package division. UPS is spending $2 billion expanding in Europe. Two years ago the company almost doubled the size of its major European air hub in Cologne, Germany. The facility now processes about 190,000 packages an hour, or slightly less than half what UPS’s largest U.S. air hub, in Louisville, Kentucky, can handle.
“We think Asia, and China in particular, has stabilized,” Abney said in an interview, cautiously. “We’re not saying China’s back into the heyday where their GDP was growing 8 or 9 percent.”
Adjusted earnings increased from a year earlier to $1.44 a share, meeting the average of analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Revenue rose 4.9 percent to $14.9 billion, while analysts predicted $14.7 billion.
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