What Next in Campaign 2016?, Fed Minutes: Week Ahead Oct. 10-15

  • JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Wells Fargo lead off bank earnings
  • Yellen, Carney top busy roster of monetary-policy speakers

The furor over Donald Trump’s 2005 vulgar video remarks about women is engulfing the U.S. presidential campaign. Republican leaders’ defections kept the issue alive heading into the Oct. 9 debate between Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton in St. Louis. Follow the latest polling results on the U.S. Elections Special Report here.

Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen speaks at a conference in Boston, while Bank of England Governor Mark Carney appears before the public in Birmingham, England. The Fed releases minutes from its September meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee. Follow the TOPLive blog for real-time coverage here.

American shoppers were back in the groove last month as retail sales probably rebounded after retreating in August, economists project a report to show.

Earnings season begins for major U.S. banks led by JPMorgan Chase & Co., Citigroup Inc. and Wells Fargo & Co. Also reporting this week will be LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE. For an expanded list of the week’s releases, click here.

The Nobel Prize in economics will be announced.

Major League Baseball’s playoffs continue, with first-round play ending by Oct. 13.

Monday, Oct. 10

  • The Nobel Prize for economic sciences will be announced in Stockholm at about 11:45 CET (05:45 EDT). The date for the literature prize hasn’t yet been announced. Click here for background on the prizes and this years’ winners.

  • Argentina Finance Minister Alfonso Prat-Gay speaks at Columbia University, hosted by the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum. His lecture will focus on the Argentina economy, current reforms and the recent sale of debt. 09:30 EDT in New York City.

  • Bloomberg’s Future of Energy Summit features speeches from Francesco Starace, group chief executive officer of Enel SpA, and Norway Petroleum and Energy Minister Tord Lien. In London, through Oct. 11.

  • Chinese Premier Li Keqiang accompanies Portuguese Prime Minister Antonio Costa to Macau, where they’ll attend a trade forum focused on Portuguese-speaking countries. The casino industry will be watching for any comments that might damp gaming revenue. Through Oct. 11.

  • Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong will open the Singapore International Cyber Week conference. Speakers include Christopher Painter from the U.S. State Department. 10:00 in Singapore (22:00 EDT on Oct. 9).

  • CENTRAL BANKS: Israel minutes

  • ECONOMY: Egypt inflation (Sept.); Turkey industrial production (Aug.); France business sentiment (Sept.); Italy industrial production (Aug.); Czech inflation (Sept.); Hungary budget balance (Sept.)

  • EARNINGS: LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE is among companies posting results. For an expanded list of today’s releases, click here.

  • ENERGY/COMMODITIES: Manitoba crop update (weekly)

Tuesday, Oct. 11

  • U.S. Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Charles Evans speaks on the economy and policy in Sydney, Australia at 12:30 local time (21:30 EDT on Oct. 10).

  • ECONOMY: U.S. NFIB small-business optimism and labor market conditions index (Sept.); Japan current account balance (Aug.); Australia home loans (Aug.) and house affordability index (3Q); South Africa manufacturing production (Aug.), German ZEW investor confidence (Oct.); Romania CPI (Sept.); Hungary CPI (Sept.); Poland CPI (Sept.)

  • EARNINGS: Alcoa Inc. is among companies posting results. For an expanded list of today’s releases, click here.

Wednesday, Oct. 12

  • The Federal Reserve will release minutes from the Open Market Committee’s Sept. 20-21 policy meeting at which policy makers kept interest rates unchanged. 14:00 EDT in Washington. Follow the TOPLive blog for real-time coverage here.

  • U.S. Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City President Esther George speaks at the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago’s Annual Payments Symposium. 08:40 local time (09:40 EDT). In Chicago, through Oct. 13.

  • EU Commissioner Gunther Oettinger speaks on the digital economy at the Stanford Center for Internet and Society. Stanford, California, at 12:50 local time (15:50 EDT).

  • European Central Bank Executive Board member Yves Mersch gives a speech at Harvard University about monetary policy on both sides of the Atlantic Ocean. 16:15 in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

  • Argentina President Mauricio Macri addresses the IDEA (Business Development Institute) “Bridges to the Future” annual conference. Central Bank President Federico Sturzenegger will speak on the last day. In Mar del Plata, Argentina, through Oct. 14.

  • ECONOMY: U.S. MBA mortgage applications (weekly) and job openings and labor turnover (Aug.); Russia CPI (weekly); Mexico industrial production (Aug.); Japan machine orders (Aug.); Turkey current account balance (Aug.); Ghana inflation (Sept.); Euro-area industrial production (Aug.); Romania industrial output (Aug.)

  • EARNINGS: CSX Corp. is among companies reporting results. For a list of today’s releases, click here.

  • ENERGY/COMMODITIES: API petroleum inventory report (weekly), OPEC oil market report (monthly), USDA World Agriculture Supply & Demand Estimates (WASDE) (monthly)

Thursday, Oct. 13

  • U.S. Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker will speak on the economic outlook before the World Affairs Council of Philadelphia at 12:15 EDT.

  • Peru’s Central Bank probably will keep its overnight rate unchanged for the eighth straight month amid weak domestic demand and inflation just above the target band. 19:00 EDT.

  • The Economist hosts a “Finance Disrupted” conference to explore the digital revolution’s impact on the financial services industry. Speakers include Sheila Bair, former chair of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., and Usama Fayyad, chief data officer at Barclays Bank Plc; panelists include former Citigroup Inc. CEO Vikram Pandit. Click here for agenda.

  • Securities and Exchange Commission Enforcement Director Andrew Ceresney will give the keynote address at the Securities Enforcement Forum 2016. The event’s “Chairman’s Panel” will include former SEC Chairmen Richard Breeden and Harvey Pitt. Begins at 08:00 EDT in Washington.

  • U.S. President Barack Obama hosts the White House Frontiers Conference, with co-hosts University of Pittsburgh and Carnegie Mellon University, to explore the future of global innovation in science and technology. In Pittsburgh.  

Orbital ATK Antares first stage air frame at the Wallops Island, Virginia Horizontal Integration Facility.

Photographer: Terry Zaperach/NASA
  • Orbital ATK’s Antares rocket is scheduled for lift-off on a cargo mission to the International Space Station at 21:13 EDT from Wallops Island, Virginia. This is the first launch of a new, larger Antares rocket since an earlier version blew up in October 2014.

  • The Scottish National Party begins a three-day party conference in Glasgow. Through Oct. 15.

  • British Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson testifies to Parliament’s Foreign Affairs Committee. 09:15 in London (04:15 EDT).

  • CENTRAL BANKS: Mexico minutes, rate decisions in South Korea and Serbia

  • ECONOMY: U.S. jobless claims and consumer comfort index (weekly) and import-price index (Sept.); Argentina inflation (Sept.); China trade balance (Sept.); Israel GDP data (2Q); South Africa mining production (Aug.); U.K. RICS house prices (Sept.)

  • EARNINGS: Sky Plc is among companies reporting results. For an expanded list of today’s releases, click here.

  • ENERGY/COMMODITIES: U.S. EIA crude oil inventory report (weekly), with real-time coverage on the TOPLive blog here; Bloomberg survey of analysts’ expectations on natural gas volume in storage (weekly); EIA natural gas inventory report and short-term energy outlook (weekly); Saskatchewan crop update (weekly); Buenos Aires Grain Exchange crop report (weekly)

Friday, Oct. 14

  • Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen is the keynote speaker at the 60th annual economics conference hosted by the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank of Boston. Fed President Eric Rosengren will also speak. He speaks at 08:30 EDT, followed by Yellen at 13:30. Click here for agenda. 

  • U.S. retail sales probably rebounded in September, helped in part by stronger demand for automobiles, indicating consumer spending remains the economy’s key source of fuel, economists project the Commerce Department to report. 08:30 EDT in Washington.

  • Bank of England Governor Mark Carney and his five deputies speak at a series of public events in central England on aimed at examining how the central bank can better serve society. The governors will hold round tables with business leaders, teachers, students and the wider public in Birmingham, Derby, Dudley, Leicester and Nottingham, before they convene in Birmingham for a plenary at 14:30 (09:30 EDT) with an audience chosen by ballot. Click here for the agenda.

  • German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble addresses a convention of Young Christian Democrats at 19:15 CET (13:15 EDT) in Paderborn, Germany. He may talk about the economy and German national elections due next year.

  • The Bank of England publishes its credit conditions and bank liabilities surveys. 09:30 in London (04:30 EDT).

  • Major League Baseball’s League Championship Series begin with a best-of-seven-games playoff between the American League finalists. The winner advances to the World Series. Timing to be determined.

  • CENTRAL BANKS: Colombia monetary policy minutes, RBA Financial Stability Review, Uganda rate decision

  • ECONOMY: U.S. producer prices (Sept.) and business inventories (Aug.), and Michigan consumer sentiment (Oct. prelim.); China CPI (Sept.); Singapore retail sales (Aug.); Euro-area trade (Aug.); U.K. construction (Aug.)

  • EARNINGS: JPMorgan Chase & Co., Wells Fargo & Co. and Citigroup Inc. are among companies reporting earnings. Follow the TOPLive blog here for real-time coverage of all three banks’ results and conference calls. For an expanded list of today’s releases, click here.

  • ENERGY/COMMODITIES: Baker Hughes U.S. oil-and-gas rig count (weekly), CFTC futures and options positions (weekly)

  • SOVEREIGN RATING UPDATES: Cameroon (S&P), Czech Republic (Fitch & Moody’s), Gabon (Fitch), Greece (Moody’s), Kenya (S&P), Korea (Moody’s), Luxembourg (Fitch), Malta (S&P), Russia (Fitch), Spain (Moody’s).

Saturday, Oct. 15

  • Baseball’s National League Championship Series begins. Timing to be determined.
    Before it's here, it's on the Bloomberg Terminal.