BOE After Brexit, JPMorgan Earnings: Week Ahead July 9-16

  • U.S. retail sales released; U.K.’s Farnborough Air Show opens
  • China waits on GDP, sea-claim ruling; Trump hunts for cash

Bank of England officials announce their first monetary policy decision since the U.K. referendum on leaving the European Union. Follow the TOPLive blog for real-time coverage here.

Retail sales in the U.S. probably climbed again in June as demand picked up at merchants other than auto dealers, a report is projected to show. Figures on consumer prices, industrial production and consumer sentiment will also be released.

China is scheduled to report on its second-quarter gross domestic product.

The North Atlantic Treaty Organization summit concludes in Warsaw, and U.S. President Barack Obama will go on to visit Spain.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Citigroup Inc. start U.S. bank-earnings season. Wells Fargo & Co., BlackRock Inc. and U.S. Bancorp also announce results.

The Farnborough International Air Show starts in England.

The Wimbledon tennis and Euro 2016 soccer tournaments conclude, while the British Open golf major begins in Scotland and the Tour de France continues.

Saturday, July 9

-North Atlantic Treaty Organization national leaders conclude a two-day summit in Warsaw. Participants include U.S. President Barack Obama, German Chancellor Angela Merkel and U.K. Prime Minister David Cameron. Obama’s visit to Spain runs through July 11.

-The Group of 20 trade ministers meet in Shanghai to discuss ways to boost trade and investment cooperation. Through July 10.

-Pepe Fanjul, a Florida multimillionaire and former Marco Rubio backer, is part of a host committee for a joint Donald Trump-Republican National Committee fundraiser at billionaire investor Wilbur Ross’s home in New York’s Hamptons.

-The Tour de France, cycling’s most prestigious event, continues through July 24. Click here for the route.

-Wimbledon, the third tennis Grand Slam major of the year and the only one played on grass, continues in London through July 10. Click here for the schedule.

Sunday, July 10

-Polls show Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s ruling coalition is set to win elections in the Upper House of parliament, with half of the 242 seats up for grabs, though he needs a two-thirds majority to begin revising the pacifist constitution. Voting ends at 20:00 Tokyo time (07:00 EDT), when exit polls indicating the result should be released.

-The African Union opens its summit in Kigali, Rwanda, with elections for a new chairman and deputy chairman for the African Union Commission. Through July 18.

-German Chancellor Angela Merkel gives an interview to ZDF German national television at 19:10 CET (13:10 EDT).

-Microsoft Worldwide Partner conference takes place in Toronto. Chief Executive Officer Satya Nadella is a keynote speaker. Click here for complete list of speakers. Through July 14. 

-The final of the Euro 2016 soccer tournament takes place in Paris. Click here for schedule.

-ECONOMY: China inflation (June), Egypt inflation (June).

Monday, July 11

-Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau visits Ukraine to offer Canada’s support for Ukraine’s sovereignty and to deepen commercial ties between the countries. Through July 12.

-French Finance Minister Michel Sapin gives his monthly news conference at 09:00 CET (03:00 EDT) in Paris.

-German Chancellor Angela Merkel speaks at a rally of her Christian Democratic Union at 13:00 CET (07:00 EDT) in the Baltic seaside resort of Zingst.

-Euro-area finance ministers meet in Brussels to discuss Italian banks, Greece and the European Commission’s objections to the Spanish and Portuguese budgets. 15:00 CET (09:00 EDT).

F-35 Joint Strike Fighter

Boeing & Farnborough websites

-The Farnborough International Airshow, a biannual showcase for the aviation industry, begins in southeastern England. The U.S. F-35 Joint Strike Fighter is among the aircraft making an appearance. In Farnborough through July 17. Click here for a highlights of the show.

-The Intersolar North America Conference for the solar industry features speakers including Sunrun Inc. Chief Executive Officer Lynn Jurich. In San Francisco, beginning at 09:00 local time (12:00 EDT). Through July 13.

-U.S. government bond auctions, Fed debt purchases. Click here for the schedule.

-U.S. initial public stock offerings. Click here for the schedule.

-CENTRAL BANKS: Kazakh rate decision, Bank of Israel minutes.

-ECONOMY: U.S. labor market conditions index (June), Japan machinery orders (May), Romania CPI (June), Poland CPI (June), Russia budget balance (June), Italy industrial production (May).

-EARNINGS: Alcoa Inc., JSL SA.

-ENERGY/COMMODITIES: U.S. Agriculture Department crops data (weekly).

Tuesday, July 12

-An international court rules on a challenge brought by the Philippines on China’s claim to more than 80 percent of the South China Sea. The decision is due to be released at about 11:00 CET in The Hague (05:00 EDT).

-The European Union’s 28 finance ministers meet at 08:00 CET (02:00 EDT) in Brussels to discuss whether to sanction Spain and Portugal. The agenda also includes fighting tax evasion and bank capital requirements.

-French Economy Minister Emmanuel Macron speaks at a rally of his En Marche movement amid speculation he may announce a presidential bid. Timing to be determined.

-The 18th bilateral two-day summit between the European Union and China, focusing on political and economic relations, begins in Beijing. China’s President Xi Jinping is among the attendees.

-U.S. Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester will speak at the Sydney Banking and Financial Stability event at the University of Sydney Business School. Begins at 11:30 local time (07/11 21:30 EDT).

-U.S. Attorney General Loretta Lynch appears before the U.S. House Judiciary Committee to be questioned about the FBI investigation into Hillary Clinton, as well as her impromptu meeting with Bill Clinton days before the e-mail probe concluded. 10:00 EDT in Washington.

-CENTRAL BANKS: Kenya rate decision.

-ECONOMY: NFIB U.S. small-business optimism index (June), U.S. wholesale inventories (May), U.S. job openings/labor turnover (May), Brazil retail sales (May), Mexico industrial production (May), Czech CPI (June), Serbia CPI (June), Russia trade (May), South Africa manufacturing production (May).

-EARNINGS: Fastenal Co., Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc., DNB ASA.

-ENERGY/COMMODITIES: American Petroleum Institute inventory report (weekly), USDA grain-exports, livestock, crop ratings (weekly), OPEC monthly oil-market report, including the latest production figures from Saudi Arabia and Nigeria (monthly), U.S. EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook (monthly), China import data for oil, coal and refined products (June).

Wednesday, July 13

-U.S. Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker will speak on the economic outlook at the Loews Philadelphia Hotel. 18:00 EDT.

-ESPN’s 2016 ESPYS awards show is broadcast live on ABC at 20:00 EDT from Los Angeles.

-CENTRAL BANKS: Canada rate decision, Malaysia rate decision.

-ECONOMY: U.S. MBA mortgage applications (weekly), Russia weekly CPI (weekly), U.S. import-price index (June), U.S. budget statement (June), Federal Reserve Beige Book, Argentina national inflation (June), South Korea jobless data (June), South Korea money supply (May), South Korea household lending (June), China trade balance (June), Romania industry (May), Russia weekly CPI, Israel trade balance (June), South Africa retail sales (May), Ghana CPI (June).

-EARNINGS: CSX Corp., Yum! Brands Inc., Corus Entertainment Inc.

-ENERGY/COMMODITIES: Bloomberg survey of analysts’ expectations on natural gas volume (weekly), IEA U.S. petroleum status report (monthly & weekly).

Thursday, July 14

-Bank of England officials announce their first monetary policy decision since the U.K.’s June 23 Brexit referendum. Governor Mark Carney has warned of a “material slowing” in the economy and signaled interest rates could be cut within months. 12:00 in London (07:00 EDT). Follow the TOPLive blog for real-time coverage here.

-The Bank of Korea decides monetary policy and releases its quarterly revised economic outlook. Governor Lee Ju Yeol will hold a separate press briefing at 11:00 in Seoul (07/13 22:00 EDT).

-French President Francois Hollande gives a nationally televised interview to discuss subjects ranging from Brexit and the U.S. election to his labor reforms and whether he will seek re-election. Timing to be determined.

-The Climate Prediction Center releases its monthly updates on El Nino/La Nina conditions in the Pacific Ocean. These weather patterns affect Atlantic hurricanes, agriculture and energy markets. About 09:00 EDT.

-The 145th British Open, the oldest of golf’s four major tournaments, begins at Royal Troon Golf Club in Scotland. Through July 17.

-CENTRAL BANKS: Mexico Central Bank minutes, Chile rate decision, Peru rate decision.

-ECONOMY: U.S. jobless claims (weekly), U.S. producer-price index (June), U.S. Bloomberg consumer comfort (weekly), Australia jobs data (June), Czech current account (May), Poland current account (May), Poland trade (May), Turkey industrial production (May), Turkey current-account balance (May), Israel CPI (June), South Africa mining production (May), U.K. RICS house price balance (June).

-EARNINGS: JPMorgan Chase & Co., First Republic Bank, Progressive Corp., BlackRock Inc., SEB AB.

-ENERGY/COMMODITIES: Bloomberg survey of analysts’ expectations on U.S. natural gas prices (weekly), U.S. Energy Information Administration natural gas inventory report (weekly).

Friday, July 15

-U.S. retail sales probably increased for a third straight month in June, indicating consumer spending helped drive faster second-quarter growth, based on forecasts ahead of the Commerce Department’s report. Consumer prices probably climbed, showing inflation is gradually moving toward the goal of Federal Reserve policy makers, economists forecast a Labor Department report to show. Both reports are due at 08:30 EDT in Washington.

-China releases gross domestic product figures for the second quarter, with economists surveyed by Bloomberg predicting year-on-year growth slowing to 6.6 percent from 6.7 percent three months earlier. The government’s target rate is 6.5 percent to 7 percent. The data will be released at 10:00 in Beijing (07/14 22:00 EDT). Follow the TOPLive blog for real-time coverage here.

-U.S. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari participates in a discussion with St. Louis Fed President James Bullard at an Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum meeting to discuss the role of the U.S. in the global economy. 12:15 local time in St. Louis (13:15 EDT).

-Bank of England Governor Mark Carney and Canadian Minister of Environment and Climate Change Catherine McKenna speak about climate change and financial markets. In Toronto at 08:00 EDT.

-Mongolia will host the 11th Asia-Europe Meeting summit in Ulaanbaatar. Sovereignty disputes in the South China Sea are likely to be a key topic of debate.

-Shareholders of AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. and Carmike Cinemas Inc. vote on their potential $1.1 billion merger at 09:00 in Atlanta.

-ECONOMY: U.S. Empire State manufacturing (July), U.S. industrial production (June), U.S. business inventories (May), U.S. Michigan consumer sentiment (July preliminary), China industrial production (June), China retail sales (June), China fixed asset investment (June), euro-area CPI (June).

-EARNINGS: Wells Fargo & Co., Citigroup Inc., U.S. Bancorp, PNC Financial Services Group, Inc., First Horizon National Corp., Shaw Communications, Inc., Svenska Handelsbanken AB

-ENERGY/COMMODITIES: Baker Hughes U.S. oil-and-gas rig count (weekly), U.S. CFTC futures and options positions for oil and commitments of traders reports (weekly).

-SOVEREIGN RATING UPDATES: Belgium (S&P), Croatia (Moody’s & S&P), Cyprus (Moody’s), South Korea (Moody’s), Iceland (Fitch & S&P), Ireland (Fitch), Poland (Fitch), Serbia (Moody’s).

Saturday, July 16

No scheduled events.

(Added Microsoft Partner conference on July 10.)

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