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Think Brexit Won’t Happen? A Trump White House Is Just as Likely

Markets are rallying on speculation Britain will stay in the EU. So what do the oddsmakers think?

What are the chances of U.K. still being in the European Union for another four years and beyond? About the same as Donald Trump winning the U.S. presidency, according to oddsmakers.   

Paddy Power Betfair Plc, Ireland’s largest bookmaker, puts the odds of Britain leaving the EU in 2021 or after at 5/2, or 28 percent. A Trump presidency is rated a 11/4 shot, about 27 percent.