Stay Away From Indian Indexes, Wealth Fund Manager Saysby
Quantum Advisors says key to curtail risks for foreigners
Quantum says corporate governance can be shocking in India
Quantum Advisors, which picks Indian stocks for Norway’s $860 billion wealth fund, says investors should stay away from index investing in Asia’s fourth-biggest market.
Investing in indexes is a poor place to put money because you don’t necessarily go into the companies with the most potential, said Ajit Dayal, the director of the Mumbai-based fund, which manages $2 billion in Indian equities.
“It’s a big mistake because you’re buying companies whose business premise
isn’t that I have the best product for you,” he said of some companies in an interview Tuesday in Oslo after a seminar organized by Norway’s sovereign wealth fund, the world’s biggest. “The business premise is to have the best connection with the government.”
Betting on this strategy can easily go to pieces if the government changes, according to Dayal. The Norwegian fund said in October 2014 that it was planning on increasing its investments “significantly” in India as Prime Minister Narendra Modi prepared to open Asia’s third-largest economy to investments and competition.
This push has so far gone pretty slowly. At the end of the first quarter, it held about 1 percent of its portfolio in Indian bonds and stocks, little changed from the 0.9 percent it held back in 2014. The move is part of a broader plan to increase its presence in emerging markets and generate bigger returns.
India’s benchmark Sensex index has slid 4.3 percent since October 31, 2014, and is down 4.2 percent over the past 12 months.
According to Dayal, it’s Quantum’s responsibility to limit the risk the Norwegian fund is taking by going into India.
“Our job isn’t to increase that risk by being in companies whose businesses aren’t consumer oriented, but we believe it’s to curtail and restrict that risk to companies that actually understand business plans as opposed to doing stuff with the government,” he said.
As for the others, for a fund like Norway’s, with a focus on corporate governance, it would be shocked to know what some of these companies are doing, he said.
“You shake someone’s hand and you don’t get five fingers back,” he said. “You don’t wanna shake that hand again. Because you lost your client’s money and you lost faith in that company in that management.”
Quantum Mutual Fund manages about 6.6 billion rupees across its nine funds that invest in Indian stocks and bonds. The funds include two ETFs, one tied to the NSE Nifty 50 Index and the other to gold. The Quantum Long-Term Equity Fund, which has 4.7 billion rupees in assets, has returned about 14 percent annually in the past five years, beating 70 percent of its peers, data compiled by Bloomberg show.
There are similar difficulties with corporate governance when investing in China, according to Fang Zheng, chief investment officer at Hong Kong-based Keywise Capital Management, which also manages money for the Norwegian wealth fund.
“It’s even more challenging to get true information outside China because of a lot of restrictions on the information you can get,” he said. “Sitting in New York and also in London only reading the annual report isn’t necessarily allowing you to get the full picture of the company. You need to check their suppliers and customers and look at internal transactions.”