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Superforecasters See 23% Brexit Chance as Economy Wins Out

  • Chances of U.K. voting to leave dropped from 37% in April
  • Citigroup, Societe Generale see higher chance of split with EU
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Expect Uncertainty in Lead up to Brexit, Warns Wraith

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As he wrestled with whether to push for Britain to abandon the European Union earlier this year, Michael Gove dedicated some time to reading a bestselling book on how to parse the future.

QuickTake Will Britain Leave the EU?