Brexit Chance Seen at 24% by Analyst Who Beat the Polls

Updated on
  • Matt Singh based forecast on likely movement of polls
  • Recent `direction of travel' has been toward `Leave,' he notes

'Brexit': What Happens if the U.K. Leaves the EU

There’s a 24 percent chance of Britain voting to leave the European Union -- that’s the conclusion of Matt Singh, the political blogger who spotted polling flaws and correctly predicted the outcome of last year’s U.K. general election.

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