New York's Snow Chances Dwindle Even as Temperatures Fall

  • Shift in a storm track takes accumulating snow away from city
  • Cold will reach across much of eastern U.S. through weekend

The storm track has shifted south taking the prospects of April snow in New York with it. The city will get less than an inch from a system moving through the eastern U.S., down from an earlier forecast of 1 to 3 inches, according to the National Weather Service.

“Basically for Saturday we’re not looking at a lot now,” said Joe Pollina, a weather service meteorologist in Upton, New York. “It starts off as rain early on Saturday and late Saturday night it is a mix of rain and snow before changing to all snow very early Sunday morning.”

As the storm nears, forecast models are better able to predict its track, which drifted farther to the south.

“There has been a shift in the storm track,” said Steve LaVoie, a meteorologist with Hometown Forecast Services Inc. in Nashua, New Hampshire. “With the further south track, we are talking about more of a rain event for New York City.”

While the snow threat may have diminished, temperatures are forecast to drop to 30 degrees Fahrenheit (minus 1 Celsius) in Manhattan. Freeze warnings and watches, aimed at people tending plants, stretch from Nebraska to Long Island and as far south as Georgia through the weekend.

Arctic cold will descend across much of the eastern U.S. bringing “a surge of very cold temperatures for early April,” according to the weather service. The freeze has the potential to kill crops and flowering plants.

Georgia Freeze

Temperatures overnight Saturday are forecast to reach the freezing mark in Augusta, Georgia, where the Masters Tournament is being played. Golfers may find frost on the greens Sunday morning.

Any snow that falls this time of year typically doesn’t linger. The 1.9 inches (4.8 centimeters) Boston received on Sunday and an additional daily-record 4.7 inches Monday has mostly melted.

“In most places it is pretty much gone now,” LaVoie said. “With more sunlight there is more opportunity for the snow to melt. The later we go, the less likely it is we will see a big snow storm.”

New York has had a relatively mild winter as average temperatures in Central Park from December to March have trended warmer than normal. The first week of April has been 1.8 degrees Fahrenheit cooler.

Even with the mild temperatures, the city received 32.1 inches of snow through the winter, which is 6.6 inches more than normal, according to the weather service. The bulk of that, 26.6 inches, came from a single storm in January.

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