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Hedge Fund Bets Signal There's More Pain Ahead for Commodities

  • Money managers double net-bearish wagers over two weeks
  • Goldman sees price recovery later in 2016 after supply cuts
Workers load cotton onto trucks at a market in Rajkot, Gujarat, India, on Wednesday, Dec. 16, 2015. World inventories at the end of this season will be the second-largest ever, just slightly less than last year's record, according to a U.S Department of Agriculture forecast.
Photographer: Dhiraj Singh/Bloomberg
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The commodity meltdown that pushed oil to a 12-year low and copper to the cheapest since 2009 isn’t over yet. At least, that’s how hedge funds see it.

Money managers increased their combined net-bearish position across 18 raw materials to the biggest ever, doubling the negative bets in just two weeks. A measure of returns on commodities last week slid to the lowest in at least 25 years. Metals, crops and energy futures all slumped amid supply gluts and an anemic outlook for the global economy.