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Iron Ore Seen Below $40 by Citi as Roy Hill `Whale' Starts

  • Lower prices forecast as steel mills in China cut production
  • Roy Hill's ramp-up expected to have a `large price impact'
Updated on

New supply from Gina Rinehart’s Roy Hill iron ore mine will contribute to a slump below $40 a metric ton next year, according to Citigroup Inc., which said lower steel output in China would also hurt the commodity.

The project in Australia’s ore-rich Pilbara is poised to start shipments in October, and its expansion toward annual output of 55 million tons will probably have a large impact on prices, analysts including Ivan Szpakowski said in a report. Surging production will combine with steel-output cuts in China to push prices below $40 in the first half, Citigroup said.