Credit Risk Indicators Fall as Greek Plan Fans Deal OptimismBy and
Investment-grade corporate credit risk drops most in two years
Proposals may lead to Agreement this week, Dijsselbloem says
Indicators of credit risk tumbled across the euro area after new Greek financial proposals raised expectations the country may be able to secure an aid deal and avoid a default.
A gauge of investment-grade European corporate credit risk fell the most in two years, and Greek company bonds rallied. A measure of how much banks expect to pay to borrow in euros, known as the FRA/OIS spread, plunged as much as 21 percent.
Greece’s new proposals are a positive step that could pave the way to a deal this week, Dutch Finance Minister Jeroen Dijsselbloem said after presiding over talks in Brussels on Monday. Still, creditors will need to undertake a full appraisal before agreeing to a plan that could keep Greece in the euro and end months of deadlock.
“I am pleasantly surprised by the movement toward a deal today, but many things could still stop a deal being agreed.” said Chris Bowie, a London-based portfolio manager at Twentyfour Asset Management LLP, which oversees 4.5 billion pounds ($7.1 billion). “The gut feeling is we get a deal that takes Greece to the end of the year,” he said.
The Markit iTraxx Europe Index, which tracks credit-default swaps on investment-grade companies, fell eight basis points to 67 basis points as of 4:22 p.m. in London.
Greece’s creditors are yet to full assess the country’s proposals because the plan was only submitted early on Monday ahead of a meeting of euro-area finance ministers, Dijsselbloem said. Michael Noonan, the Irish finance minister, said he expected ministers to have to meet again on Thursday.
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