There are currently two factions in American presidential politics: Those who are absolutely sure Jeb Bush will run for president in 2016 and those who are absolutely sure he won’t.
The first group points to Bush’s recent weeks on the road—he hit a variety of long-planned Republican political and policy events in advance of the midterms, and put on an impressively lively and incisive show. Supporters share stories of Bush aides quietly urging potential backers to keep their powder dry only a little longer. George W. Bush’s jaunty recent assertion that his brother “is weighing his options,” is seen as a trilling dog whistle signifying that Dallas, Houston, and, significantly, Kennebunkport are all on board for a third Bush presidency.