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Why Ukraine Can't Win an All-Out Military Victory—and Shouldn't Try

Ukrainian army battleship waits on its position facing Slaviansk on July 4
Ukrainian army battleship waits on its position facing Slaviansk on July 4Photograph by Sipa via AP Photo

Suddenly, Ukraine’s army is winning. Over the weekend Kiev’s troops recaptured several cities in the eastern Donetsk region, sending pro-Russian rebels fleeing to strongholds further east. Now President Petro Poroshenko is planning a “complete blockade” of the region’s two other main cities, Donetsk and Luhansk, according to a Ukrainian television report that quoted the deputy head of the country’s National Defense and Security Council.

That’s a striking turnabout from just a few weeks ago, when Ukraine’s forces seemed ragtag and reluctant to fight. But it doesn’t mean a military victory is likely, or desirable.