Goldman Buy Call Spurs E-House Rally: China OvernightBelinda Cao
E-House China Holdings Ltd. led gains in Chinese stocks traded in New York after Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said the online real estate services provider is poised to extend its six-month rally as housing prices soar.
The Bloomberg China-US Index of the most traded Chinese equities in the U.S. rose less than 0.1 percent to 104.55 yesterday, after dropping the most in two years the previous day. About two stocks rose for every one that fell on the gauge. Shanghai-based E-House jumped 6.8 percent while hotel chain China Lodging Group Ltd. posted the biggest advance in a month. Baidu Inc., China’s biggest search engine, capped the largest two-day decline since October.
The value of homes sold in China increased 19 percent to the highest since December 2011, according to government data released this week. E-House, which has surged 50 percent this quarter to lead gains on the China-US gauge, stands to benefit from this trend as a property agent, Shanghai-based Goldman analysts led by Yi Wang wrote in a report dated Dec. 11. Goldman also raised its estimate for E-House’s 2014 adjusted earnings by 10 percent.
“Rising home sales signal that the government won’t take irrational steps to curb growth of China’s property sector,” Tian X. Hou, the founder of T.H. Capital LLC, said by phone from Beijing yesterday. “Investors didn’t consider E-House as an Internet company until this year, after it expanded its e-commerce business. Both government policy and its own business restructuring have helped the stock’s performance.”
The iShares China Large-Cap ETF, the largest Chinese exchange-traded fund in the U.S., slipped 1.1 percent to $38.11 in New York, extending its decline to a fourth day. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index retreated 0.4 percent as improving economic data spurred speculation that the Federal Reserve will cut stimulus as soon as next week.
E-House’s American depositary receipts soared to $13.80, the highest level since February 2011. Trading volume was twice the three-month average compiled by Bloomberg. The ADRs have gained 237 percent in 2013.
The company sold $135 million of 2.75 percent five-year convertible notes yesterday. The conversion price of the notes was about $16.80 for each ADR, a 30 percent premium over the closing level Dec. 11, the company said in a statement.
Goldman lifted its earnings projections for E-House by 11 percent for 2015 and 12 percent for 2016 to reflect “potential benefits from the sharper focus on online expansion and our estimated dilution impact from its convertible bonds issuance,” according to the note. It also increased a 12-month price target to $16.77 from $14.39.
SouFun Holdings Ltd., China’s biggest real-estate information website, rallied 4.1 percent to $71.82, extending its gains this quarter to 39 percent.
China Lodging, a budget hotel operator based in Shanghai, surged 6 percent to $25.76. Phoenix New Media Ltd., a television and Internet news outlet, climbed 4.7 percent to $8.99, rising the most in four weeks.
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp., a Shanghai-based chip foundry, climbed 1.6 percent to $3.72 after retreating 10 percent in a six-day slump. BOC International Holdings Ltd. analysts led by Cheng Manjiang named the company a 2014 top pick among shares listed in Hong Kong in a report yesterday.
Baidu’s ADRs slid 1 percent to $171.50 in New York, retreating 4.7 percent from a two-year high of $108.77 reached on Dec. 10. The ADRs have jumped 71 percent this year, the best advance since 2010.
Mindray Medical International Ltd., a medical device maker based in Shenzhen, tumbled 11 percent to $35.61, the biggest decline since August 2010. Volume was four times the 90-day average. Short interest on its stock was 23 percent of shares outstanding as of Dec. 10, Markit data showed.
The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index in Hong Kong retreated 1 percent to a four-week low of 10,962.18, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell less than 0.1 percent to 2,202.80 in a third day of slump.
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