Temperatures to Drop Below Normal Across Eastern U.S. Next Week

Temperatures across the eastern half of the U.S. are forecast to drop below normal through mid-November, with freezing cold expected in Chicago, before becoming more seasonal later in the month, said Matt Rogers, president of Commodity Weather Group LLC.

From the northern Great Plains and western Canada to the mid-Atlantic region and the Northeast, temperatures are expected to be at least 3 to 5 degrees Fahrenheit (1.7 to 2.8 Celsius) below normal from today until Nov. 12, Rogers said.

The cooler air will settle in the South and East from Nov. 13 to 17, while much of western Canada and the U.S. West will see temperatures rise about 3 degrees above normal.

“The brunt of the Midwest cold push is around Tuesday-Wednesday, with highs only in the 30s for Chicago and lows in the low 20s,” said Rogers, based in Bethesda, Maryland. “The highs in New York City by the middle of next week are only in the 40s.”

Below-normal temperatures, especially in Eastern and Midwestern cities, tend to increase energy consumption as more people heat homes and businesses. November marks the start of the U.S. heating season, when natural gas demand peaks.

Power generation accounts for 32 percent of U.S. gas use, according to the Energy Information Administration, the Energy Department’s statistical arm. About 49 percent of all homes use the fuel for heating.

By Nov. 18 to 22, temperatures across the U.S. and western Canada are expected to be seasonal. In Ontario and Quebec, readings may be about 3 degrees above normal, Rogers said.

The normal average temperature in New York on Nov. 16 is about 49 degrees, according to MDA Weather Services in Gaithersburg, Maryland. In Boston, it’s 45; in St. Louis, 48; Dallas, 57; Houston, 62; Chicago, 40; Burbank, California, 60; and in Calgary, it’s 27.

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