Rising Temperatures in East May Mean Mild End to November

Temperatures in the eastern U.S. are expected to rise above normal by mid-November, and that may signal a mild end to the month, said Matt Rogers, president of Commodity Weather Group LLC.

Readings from the Great Plains to the mid-Atlantic states will be about 3 degrees Fahrenheit (2 Celsius) above normal from Nov. 14 to Nov. 18, according to Rogers, who’s based in Bethesda, Maryland. An area stretching from the Great Lakes to Louisiana, including St. Louis, is expected to have temperatures 5 degrees above normal.

Much of the Northeast will be seasonal during the period.

“The warmest focus seems to be for the South to Midwest first, but expansion toward the East Coast is seen by later in the period, too, with potential for this to dominate the second half of November now,” Rogers said.

Colder weather, especially in Eastern and Midwestern cities, tends to increase energy consumption as more people heat homes and businesses. November marks the start of the U.S. heating season, when natural gas demand peaks.

Power generation accounts for 32 percent of U.S. gas use, according to the Energy Information Administration, the Energy Department’s statistical arm. About 49 percent of all homes use the fuel for heating.

The normal average temperature in New York on Nov. 13 is about 49 degrees, according to MDA Weather Services in Gaithersburg, Maryland. In Boston, it’s 45; in St. Louis, 48; Dallas, 57; Houston, 63; Chicago, 45; Burbank, California, 61; and in Calgary, it’s 29.

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