Barclays Favors Chilean Over Mexican Retailers on Andes Growth

Shares of Chile’s retailers may rally as their stores in Peru and Colombia boost profits while consumer demand in Mexico slows, according to Barclays Plc.

Barclays raised its stock price estimates for Santiago-based SACI Falabella and reiterated ratings equivalent to buy for it and Ripley Corp SA, citing plans to expand stores in the Andean region. It also reiterated a rating equivalent to hold for Santiago-based Cencosud SA.

“In the longer term, we still see substantial upside potential as retailers in Chile are posting higher earnings growth compared to the retailers in Mexico under our coverage,” analyst Benjamin Theurer said in an e-mailed research note to clients today.

Theurer reiterated a rating equivalent to hold for Wal-Mart de Mexico SAB and sell for Grupo Comercial Chedraui SA and Organizacion Soriana SAB.

Peru will grow 6.2 percent this year, the most among major Latin American economies, according to the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg. Colombia is expected to expand 4.1 percent and Mexico should grow 3.2 percent.

Sales at Mexican stores open at least a year dropped 3.2 percent in April, according to the National Association of Department and Convenience Stores. It was the first decline since May 2011.

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