China Rate Swap Drops to One-Month Low as Economic Growth SlowsKyoungwha Kim
China’s one-year interest-rate swaps fell to a one-month low after data showed economic growth unexpectedly slowed in the first quarter.
Gross domestic product increased 7.7 percent from a year earlier, slowing from a 7.9 percent expansion in the previous three months, the government reported today. Economists forecast 8 percent growth, based on the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey. Factory output also moderated, rising 8.9 percent in March following a 9.9 percent gain in the first two months.
“The weak data outcome, together with the previously reported soft inflation, reduce the odds for policy rate tightening, at least in the near term, which may help the interest-rate curve re-steepen,” said Frances Cheung, a strategist at Credit Agricole CIB in Hong Kong.
The one-year swap, the fixed cost needed to receive the floating seven-day repurchase rate, fell two basis points to 3.24 percent in Shanghai, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. It touched 3.235 percent, the lowest level since March 12. The extra cost to lock in interest rates for five years rather than two shrank one basis point to 25. It reached a two-year high of 50 basis points on Feb. 4.
Inflation eased to 2.1 percent last month from 3.2 percent in February, while the trade balance slipped into deficit for the first time since February 2012, official data showed last week.
The People’s Bank of China gauged demand today for an auction of seven- and 14-day reverse-repurchase agreements that add funds to the financial system, according to a trader at a primary dealer required to participate in such operations. It also asked banks to submit orders for 28-day repurchase contracts, the trader said.
The seven-day repo rate, which measures interbank funding availability, climbed three basis points to 2.97 percent, according to a weighted average compiled by the National Interbank Funding Center.