Dollar-Funding Stress Holds Steady, Money Market Indicators ShowLiz Capo McCormick
Money-market indicators signaled short-term dollar funding stress stayed steady.
The three-month London interbank offered rate, or Libor, which represents what banks say it would cost to borrow from one another, held at 0.302 percent, the lowest since Aug. 17, 2011, for a fourth day, according to the British Bankers’ Association. The Libor-OIS spread, a gauge of banks’ reluctance to lend, rose to 16.7 basis points, from 16 basis points yesterday.
Overnight index swaps, or OIS, give traders predictions on where the Federal Reserve’s effective funds rate will average for the term of the swap. The central bank’s target rate is set in a range of zero to 0.25 percent.
The prediction in the forward market for Libor-OIS, known as the FRA/OIS spread, was 19.25 basis points, from 19.6 basis points on Jan. 18, according to the second rolling three-month contracts.
The seasonally adjusted amount of U.S. commercial paper rose $27.8 billion to $1.1328 trillion in the week ended Jan. 16, according to Fed data.
The cost for European banks to convert euro-denominated payment streams into dollars-based funding via the cross currency swaps market decreased. The three-month cross-currency basis swap was 16.5 basis points below Euribor, from 17 basis points below yesterday.
Foreign-exchange swaps are typically for periods of less than a year, while cross-currency basis swaps usually range from one to 30 years. The latter are agreements in which a person borrows in one currency and simultaneously lends in a different currency. The trade involves the exchange of two different floating-rate payments, each denominated in a different currency and based on a different index.
The Euribor-OIS spread, the difference between the euro interbank offered rate and overnight indexed swaps, narrowed. The measure of banks’ reluctance to lend to one another was 10.7 basis points, compared with 11.1 basis points yesterday.
The overnight Treasury general collateral repurchase agreement rate opened today at 0.11 percent, according to ICAP Plc, the world’s largest inter-dealer broker.
The average rate for borrowing and lending Treasuries for one day in the repo market was 0.099 percent on Jan. 18, according to index data provided on a one-day lag by the Depository Trust & Clearing Corp.
Securities dealers use repos to finance holdings and increase leverage. Securities that can be borrowed at interest rates close to the Fed’s target rate are called general collateral. Those in highest demand have lower rates and are called “special.”
The average rate for overnight federal funds, known as the fed effective rate, was 0.18 percent on Jan. 18. The rate opened today at 0.16 percent. The effective rate is a volume-weighted average of trades between major brokers for overnight funds, reported on a day lag by the Fed Bank of New York.