Ringgit Climbs as China Economic Recovery Seen Boosting ExportsLiau Y-Sing
Malaysia’s ringgit rose, halting a two-day loss, ahead of a report that’s forecast to show growth in China’s economy accelerated, improving the outlook for Asian exports. Government bonds were little changed.
Gross domestic product in China, the Southeast Asian nation’s biggest overseas market, increased 7.8 percent in the fourth quarter from a year earlier, compared with 7.4 percent in the previous period, according to the median estimate of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg before data due tomorrow. The Malaysian Institute of Economic Research said today it maintains its prediction for a 5.1 percent rise in local GDP last year and 5.6 percent in 2013.
“Market players are expecting pretty strong Chinese data,” said Andy Ji, a Singapore-based foreign-exchange strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia. “That’s going to support risk appetite.”
The ringgit strengthened 0.1 percent to 3.0187 per dollar as of 4:08 p.m. in Kuala Lumpur, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. It touched 3.0125 earlier, near the 3.0032 level reached on Jan. 15 that was the strongest since March 9.
One-month implied volatility, a measure of expected moves in the exchange rate used to price options, fell five basis points, or 0.05 percentage point, to 5.02 percent.
Commonwealth Bank of Australia raised its forecast for most Asian currencies in a research note released yesterday, to reflect expectations the dollar will “remain soft” over 2013. The lender predicts the ringgit will strengthen to 2.85 per dollar by year-end, compared with an earlier estimate of 3.00.
Malaysian inflation may have quickened to 1.4 percent in December from a year earlier, compared with 1.3 percent in the previous month, a Bloomberg survey showed ahead of a Jan. 23 government report. MIER is predicting a rate of 1.7 percent for the whole of 2012 and 2.5 percent for this year.
The yield on the 3.314 percent sovereign notes due October 2017 was little changed at 3.21 percent, according to prices from Bursa Malaysia.