Should you buy stock in homebuilders?

Dean Foust

Jan Hatzius at Goldman Sachs is one of my favorite economists on Wall Street (as you can tell from earlier postings). In a new report, Hatzius tries to gander a guess at predicting the future for homebuilders. Best guess? That we’ll see a peak-to-trough drop in housing starts by between 15% to 30% (!). Hatzius figured this by comparing housing starts to the growth rate in the housing stock and then comparing it all to the number of households.

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