Online Extra: Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 4/9 thous. of net tons 1,888 2,025# -5.9 AUTOS 4/9 units 86,926 78,134r# 13.7 TRUCKS 4/9 units 168,800 141,131r# 26.3 ELECTRIC POWER 4/9 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 65,819 67,733# -4.3 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 4/9 thous. of bbl./day 15,031 15,408# 2.3 COAL 4/2 thous. of net tons 21,872# 21,813 2.0 LUMBER 4/2 millions of ft. 378.7# 391.0 8.0 RAIL FREIGHT 4/2 billions of ton-miles 32.3# 31.9 4.9

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 4/1 1992=100 134.7 134.9r -0.2 STOCK PRICES 4/8 S&P 500 1181.2 1172.9 3.7 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 4/8 5.5% 5.4% -2.7 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 3/28 billions $6,503.3 $6,478.2r 5.1 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 4/9 thous. 330 340r -7.6 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 4/9 474.5 446.0 9.8 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 4/9 1899.6 1798.8 -33.6

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 4/13 $/troy oz. 427.500 425.750 7.5 STEEL SCRAP 4/13 #1 heavy, $/ton 210.67 197.67 2.9 COPPER 4/8 cents/lb. 156.7 154.1 18.8 ALUMINUM 4/8 cents/lb. 95.6 96.2 11.8 COTTON 4/8 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 51.99 53.15 -14.9 OIL 4/13 $/bbl. 50.30 55.75 38.3 CRB FOODSTUFFS 4/12 1967=100 252.84 249.45 -11.4 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 4/12 1967=100 336.94 333.48 6.5

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Platt's Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 4/13 2.5610 2.6015 2.8860 BRITISH POUND 4/13 1.89 1.88 1.79 CANADIAN DOLLAR 4/13 1.24 1.22 1.34 EUROPEAN EURO 4/13 1.2915 1.2871 1.1962 JAPANESE YEN 4/13 107.35 108.68 108.65 KOREAN WON 4/13 1011.5 1013.4 1154.2 MEXICAN PESO 4/13 11.072 11.215 11.305 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 4/13 89.5 89.9 94.2

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 4/12 2.77% 2.72% 1.00% COMMERCIAL PAPER 4/11 3-month NA NA 1.03 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 4/12 3-month 3.08 3.05 1.07 FIXED MORTGAGE 4/8 30-year 6.06 6.17 5.90 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 4/8 one-year 4.64 4.64 3.75 PRIME 4/12 5.75 5.75 4.00

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. no longer included. Historical data has been adjusted. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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