Online Extra: Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 3/12 thous. of net tons 2,009 2,019# 2.3 AUTOS 3/12 units 85,198 94,132r# -2.2 TRUCKS 3/12 units 166,903 174,759r# -2.0 ELECTRIC POWER 3/12 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 71,847 73,582r# 1.6 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 3/12 thous. of bbl./day 15,053 14,889# 3.2 COAL 3/5 thous. of net tons 21,808# 22,011 11.0 LUMBER 3/5 millions of ft. 393.6# 392.1 16.1 RAIL FREIGHT 3/5 billions of ton-miles 32.1# 32.3 8.4

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 3/4 1992=100 135.2 134.9 0.4 STOCK PRICES 3/11 S&P 500 1200.1 1222.1 7.1 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 3/11 5.4% 5.3% 2.5 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 2/28 billions $6,445.8 $6,444.9r 5.1 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 3/12 thous. 318 328r -4.5 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 3/12 462.8 451.7 2.3 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 3/12 2267.5 2176.8 -54.5

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 3/16 $/troy oz. 443.000 439.500 10.0 STEEL SCRAP 3/16 #1 heavy, $/ton 195.17 195.33 -20.1 COPPER 3/11 cents/lb. 154.7 153.4 15.4 ALUMINUM 3/11 cents/lb. 98.7 95.4 20.9 COTTON 3/11 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 52.50 51.21 -16.2 OIL 3/16 $/bbl. 56.15 54.59 47.9 CRB FOODSTUFFS 3/15 1967=100 258.22 256.06 -9.9 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 3/15 1967=100 335.63 332.69 6.2

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Platt's Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 3/16 2.7623 2.7170 2.9095 BRITISH POUND 3/16 1.93 1.93 1.82 CANADIAN DOLLAR 3/16 1.21 1.21 1.34 EUROPEAN EURO 3/16 1.3417 1.3391 1.2237 JAPANESE YEN 3/16 104.17 103.95 108.28 KOREAN WON 3/16 1003.8 1001.0 1165.1 MEXICAN PESO 3/16 11.228 11.012 10.965 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 3/16 87.8 87.6 93.3

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 3/15 2.61% 2.49% 0.99% COMMERCIAL PAPER 3/14 3-month NA NA 1.00 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 3/15 3-month 2.98 2.92 1.04 FIXED MORTGAGE 3/11 30-year 5.94 5.92 5.53 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 3/11 one-year 4.47 4.45 3.52 PRIME 3/15 5.50 5.50 4.00

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. no longer included. Historical data has been adjusted. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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