Online Extra: Production Index Components

      

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 9/11 thous. of net tons 1,972 2,021# 10.0 AUTOS 9/11 units 68,772 77,302r# -30.9 TRUCKS 9/11 units 125,041 152,873r# -24.7 ELECTRIC POWER 9/11 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 78,648 82,982# 1.8 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 9/11 thous. of bbl./day 16,104 16,173# 3.5 COAL 9/4 thous. of net tons 21,579# 21,815 5.9 LUMBER 9/4 millions of ft. 566.6# 576.9r 32.5 RAIL FREIGHT 9/4 billions of ton-miles 31.3# 31.8 11.0

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 9/3 1992=100 132.6 131.1 1.0 STOCK PRICES 9/10 S&P 500 1120.4 1113.6 10.0 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 9/10 5.5% 5.6% -4.0 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 8/30 billions $6,291.8 $6,311.4r 2.8 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 9/11 thous. 333 317 -16.8 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 9/11 455.7 476.0 5.4 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 9/11 1972.5 1948.9 -19.1

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 9/15 $/troy oz. 404.450 396.300 8.1 STEEL SCRAP 9/15 #1 heavy, $/ton 235.00 235.00 96.3 COPPER 9/10 cents/lb. 132.2 131.4 54.3 ALUMINUM 9/10 cents/lb. 81.5 83.0 22.1 COTTON 9/10 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 54.00 54.12 -9.2 OIL 9/15 $/bbl. 43.38 42.46 62.3 CRB FOODSTUFFS 9/14 1967=100 273.38 276.47 12.3 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 9/14 1967=100 319.69 308.82 17.3

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 9/15 2.9030 2.9000 2.9071 BRITISH POUND 9/15 1.78 1.79 1.61 CANADIAN DOLLAR 9/15 1.30 1.29 1.37 EUROPEAN EURO 9/15 1.2153 1.2183 1.1284 JAPANESE YEN 9/15 110.03 109.35 116.03 KOREAN WON 9/15 1144.2 1149.2 1171.0 MEXICAN PESO 9/15 11.524 11.586 10.915 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 9/15 93.9 93.6 97.3

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 9/14 1.40% 1.54% 0.97% COMMERCIAL PAPER 9/14 3-month NA NA 1.04 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 9/14 3-month 1.84 1.78 1.08 FIXED MORTGAGE 9/10 30-year 5.93 5.90 6.28 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 9/10 one-year 4.10 4.09 4.08 PRIME 9/14 4.50 4.50 4.00

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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