Online Extra: Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 11/29 thous. of net tons 1,910 1,923# 2.5 AUTOS 11/29 units 61,723 95,292r# -0.8 TRUCKS 11/29 units 98,331 168,942r# 7.4 ELECTRIC POWER 11/29 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 69,879 69,159# 2.4 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 11/29 thous. of bbl./day 15,270 14,999# 0.2 COAL 11/22 thous. of net tons 21,174# 21,340 -4.1 LUMBER 11/22 millions of ft. 572.2# 542.8 15.3 RAIL FREIGHT 11/22 billions of ton-miles 31.2# 31.1 2.3

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 11/21 1992=100 131.6 130.7r 11.0 STOCK PRICES 11/27 S&P 500 1058.2 1035.3 13.0 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 11/27 5.6% 5.5% -11.7 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 11/17 billions $6,082.2 $6,080.3r 4.5 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 11/28 thous. 365 354r 2.0 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 11/28 441.8 459.9 14.3 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 11/28 2100.0 2612.2 -49.4

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 12/3 $/troy oz. 401.800 391.750 24.7 STEEL SCRAP 12/2 #1 heavy, $/ton 139.17 139.17 48.1 COPPER 11/28 cents/lb. 94.1 95.2 20.7 ALUMINUM 11/28 cents/lb. 72.5 72.0 9.0 COTTON 11/28 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 64.09 70.40 29.7 OIL 12/3 $/bbl. 30.86 29.39 16.5 CRB FOODSTUFFS 12/2 1967=100 259.95 255.45 11.0 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 12/2 1967=100 294.88 289.46 20.3

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 12/3 2.9338 2.9335 3.7155 BRITISH POUND 12/3 1.73 1.70 1.57 CANADIAN DOLLAR 12/3 1.30 1.31 1.56 EUROPEAN EURO 12/3 1.2110 1.1792 1.0009 JAPANESE YEN 12/3 108.29 109.40 124.56 KOREAN WON 12/3 1195.5 1202.9 1216.5 MEXICAN PESO 12/3 11.261 11.311 10.285 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 12/3 93.7 94.9 115.2

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 12/2 0.97% 0.98% 1.24% COMMERCIAL PAPER 12/2 3-month 1.07 1.07 1.30 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 12/2 3-month 1.11 1.11 1.38 FIXED MORTGAGE 11/28 30-year 6.02 5.97 6.30 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 11/28 one-year 3.96 3.97 4.48 PRIME 12/2 4.00 4.00 4.25

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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