Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 9/20 thous. of net tons 1,727 1,793# -18.4 AUTOS 9/20 units 94,530 99,484r# -7.1 TRUCKS 9/20 units 163,256 166,113r# 2.5 ELECTRIC POWER 9/20 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 75,440 77,291# -2.4 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 9/20 thous. of bbl./day 15,341 15,563# 1.8 COAL 9/13 thous. of net tons 20,849# 20,377 -5.0 LUMBER 9/13 millions of ft. 534.1# 427.7r -3.6 RAIL FREIGHT 9/13 billions of ton-miles 30.4# 27.6 2.0

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 9/12 1992=100 129.5 128.5r 9.8 STOCK PRICES 9/18 S&P 500 1036.3 1018.6 22.6 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 9/18 5.7% 5.8% -7.5 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 9/8 billions $6,116.2 $6,120.3r 7.3 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 9/19 thous. 381 400r -7.5 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 9/19 402.1 432.4 11.8 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 9/19 2429.7 2438.5 -59.4

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 9/24 $/troy oz. 385.000 74.250 18.4 STEEL SCRAP 9/23 #1 heavy, $/ton 123.17 119.70 25.0 COPPER 9/19 cents/lb. 86.1 85.7 20.1 ALUMINUM 9/19 cents/lb. 66.8 66.8 6.0 COTTON 9/19 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 61.40 59.49 58.2 OIL 9/24 $/bbl. 27.83 26.73 -9.6 CRB FOODSTUFFS 9/23 1967=100 249.19 243.54 9.1 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 9/23 1967=100 274.30 272.61 14.1

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 9/24 2.9215 2.9071 3.7700 BRITISH POUND 9/24 1.66 1.61 1.56 CANADIAN DOLLAR 9/24 1.35 1.37 1.58 EUROPEAN EURO 9/24 1.1496 1.1284 0.9763 JAPANESE YEN 9/24 111.73 116.03 122.87 KOREAN WON 9/24 1150.5 1171.0 1229.0 MEXICAN PESO 9/24 10.781 10.915 10.223 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 9/24 95.6 97.3 116.0

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 9/23 1.01% 0.97% 1.75% COMMERCIAL PAPER 9/23 3-month 1.04 1.04 1.72 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 9/23 3-month 1.07 1.08 1.75 FIXED MORTGAGE 9/19 30-year 6.19 6.28 6.22 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 9/19 one-year 4.07 4.08 4.64 PRIME 9/23 4.00 4.00 4.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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