Online Extra: Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 7/12 thous. of net tons 1,998 1,880# 4.2 AUTOS 7/12 units 41,703 17,668r# -3.5 TRUCKS 7/12 units 48,415 38,454r# 73.5 ELECTRIC POWER 7/12 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 82,993 79,072# 2.7 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 7/12 thous. of bbl./day 15,545 15,512# -0.1 COAL 7/5 thous. of net tons 18,785# 20,880 14.2 LUMBER 7/5 millions of ft. 376.8# 519.1r 14.4 RAIL FREIGHT 7/5 billions of ton-miles 24.5# 29.3 3.8

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 7/4 1992=100 124.1 124.2 1.4 STOCK PRICES 7/10 S&P 500 998.1 985.7 8.3 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 7/10 5.3% 5.3% -18.6 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 6/30 billions $6,074.3 $6,052.4r 8.3 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 7/11 thous. 412 441r 7.6 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 7/11 447.2 414.1 18.6 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 7/11 6657.2 6768.3 143.9

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 7/16 $/troy oz. 343.200 344.150 8.6 STEEL SCRAP 7/15 #1 heavy, $/ton 108.83 108.83 12.4 COPPER 7/11 cents/lb. 81.4 79.1 2.9 ALUMINUM 7/11 cents/lb. 68.0 65.8 2.6 COTTON 7/11 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 57.59 56.83 38.6 OIL 7/16 $/bbl. 30.69 31.15 10.9 CRB FOODSTUFFS 7/15 1967=100 231.43 233.75 6.0 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 7/15 1967=100 265.08 262.20 7.9

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 7/16 2.8435 2.8600 2.8960 BRITISH POUND 7/16 1.60 1.64 1.57 CANADIAN DOLLAR 7/16 1.39 1.37 1.54 EUROPEAN EURO 7/16 1.1220 1.1351 1.0074 JAPANESE YEN 7/16 118.10 117.79 116.32 KOREAN WON 7/16 1176.5 1179.1 1171.9 MEXICAN PESO 7/16 10.369 10.503 9.687 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 7/16 97.4 97.0 112.3

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 7/15 1.13% 0.93% 1.72% COMMERCIAL PAPER 7/15 3-month 1.00 1.01 1.74 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 7/16 3-month 1.05 1.03 1.80 FIXED MORTGAGE 7/10 30-year 5.69 5.59 6.60 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 7/10 one-year 3.76 3.78 4.72 PRIME 7/10 4.00 4.00 4.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index; other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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