Online Extra: Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 7/5 thous. of net tons 1,880 1,899# -2.1 AUTOS 7/5 units 17,749 94,820r# 46.1 TRUCKS 7/5 units 38,898 154,456r# 48.7 ELECTRIC POWER 7/5 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 79,072 77,379# -2.7 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 7/5 thous. of bbl./day 15,512 15,446# -0.7 COAL 6/28 thous. of net tons 20,880# 20,038 6.8 LUMBER 6/28 millions of ft. 514.1# 515.0r -3.1 RAIL FREIGHT 6/28 billions of ton-miles 29.3# 28.4 0.3

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 6/27 1992=100 124.2 124.0r 1.4 STOCK PRICES 7/3 S&P 500 985.7 976.2 -0.3 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 7/3 5.3% 5.2% -20.4 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 6/23 billions $6,050.6 $6,046.5r 8.2 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 7/4 thous. 439 434r 7.9 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 7/4 414.1 438.4 1.5 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 7/4 6768.3 8599.1 158.7

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 7/9 $/troy oz. 344.150 350.200 9.3 STEEL SCRAP 7/8 #1 heavy, $/ton 108.83 105.17 12.2 COPPER 7/4 cents/lb. 79.1 80.2 -1.0 ALUMINUM 7/4 cents/lb. 65.8 65.8 -1.1 COTTON 7/4 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 56.83 54.41 35.9 OIL 7/9 $/bbl. 31.15 30.13 17.1 CRB FOODSTUFFS 7/8 1967=100 233.75 259.47 7.8 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 7/8 1967=100 262.20 234.60 6.2

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 7/9 2.8600 2.8350 2.8485 BRITISH POUND 7/9 1.64 1.66 1.55 CANADIAN DOLLAR 7/9 1.37 1.35 1.52 EUROPEAN EURO 7/9 1.1351 1.1563 0.9892 JAPANESE YEN 7/9 117.79 119.43 117.66 KOREAN WON 7/9 1179.1 1191.0 1177.5 MEXICAN PESO 7/9 10.503 10.440 9.836 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 7/9 97.0 96.3 113.1

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 7/8 0.93% 1.45% 1.72% COMMERCIAL PAPER 7/8 3-month 1.01 1.01 1.76 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 7/9 3-month 1.03 1.05 1.80 FIXED MORTGAGE 7/3 30-year 5.59 5.47 6.66 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 7/3 one-year 3.78 3.72 4.79 PRIME 7/3 4.00 4.25 4.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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