Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 6/14 thous. of net tons 1,941 1,938# 0.4 AUTOS 6/14 units 97,086 101,110r# -8.3 TRUCKS 6/14 units 160,228 158,187r# 7.6 ELECTRIC POWER 6/14 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 72,044 68,063# -4.6 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 6/14 thous. of bbl./day 15,803 15,869# 2.5 COAL 6/7 thous. of net tons 20,592# 20,345 4.6 LUMBER 6/7 millions of ft. 511.5# 454.7r -9.2 RAIL FREIGHT 6/7 billions of ton-miles 29.0# 27.5 0.7

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 6/6 1992=100 123.2 123.6r 0.9 STOCK PRICES 6/13 S&P 500 988.6 987.8 -1.9 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 6/13 4.8% 5.0% -27.3 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 6/2 billions $6,021.5 $6,011.6r 8.6 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 6/13 thous. 421 434r 5.8 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 6/13 419.1 418.9 16.6 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 6/13 9162.7 9046.9 419.3

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 6/18 $/troy oz. 359.750 354.250 12.2 STEEL SCRAP 6/17 #1 heavy, $/ton 105.17 105.17 8.4 COPPER 6/13 cents/lb. 80.8 82.3 0.1 ALUMINUM 6/13 cents/lb. 66.5 68.3 -0.7 COTTON 6/13 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 53.61 49.10 47.3 OIL 6/18 $/bbl. 29.97 31.98 19.2 CRB FOODSTUFFS 6/17 1967=100 241.92 424.81 17.0 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 6/17 1967=100 260.66 261.30 6.5

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 6/18 2.8865 2.8515 2.7155 BRITISH POUND 6/18 1.68 1.67 1.49 CANADIAN DOLLAR 6/18 1.34 1.35 1.54 EUROPEAN EURO 6/18 1.1691 1.1748 0.9577 JAPANESE YEN 6/18 117.83 117.79 123.84 KOREAN WON 6/18 1184.9 1195.3 1230.3 MEXICAN PESO 6/18 10.601 10.573 9.743 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 6/18 95.8 96.0 117.4

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 6/17 1.24% 1.22% 1.71% COMMERCIAL PAPER 6/17 3-month 0.93 1.08 1.75 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 6/18 3-month 0.93 1.02 1.80 FIXED MORTGAGE 6/13 30-year 5.37 5.45 6.78 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 6/13 one-year 3.70 3.80 4.89 PRIME 6/13 4.25 4.25 4.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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