Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 5/31 thous. of net tons 1,843 1,861# 0.8 AUTOS 5/31 units 80,311 91,250r# -9.3 TRUCKS 5/31 units 128,246 148,111r# 0.7 ELECTRIC POWER 5/31 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 66,214 66,584# -3.6 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 5/31 thous. of bbl./day 15,975 15,560# 5.2 COAL 5/24 thous. of net tons 20,392# 20,142 1.0 LUMBER 5/24 millions of ft. 514.1# 498.5r -5.5 RAIL FREIGHT 5/24 billions of ton-miles 29.1# 28.9 0.8

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 5/23 1992=100 121.5 121.5r -0.3 STOCK PRICES 5/30 S&P 500 963.6 933.2 -9.7 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 5/30 5.0% 4.9% -25.1 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 5/19 billions $6,012.5 $6,002.2r 8.4 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 5/30 thous. 442 426r 15.1 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 5/30 460.5 395.7 11.2 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 5/30 9977.8 8840.9 525.0

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 6/4 $/troy oz. 364.200 363.100 13.1 STEEL SCRAP 6/3 #1 heavy, $/ton 108.00 108.00 11.3 COPPER 5/30 cents/lb. 81.5 80.5 2.6 ALUMINUM 5/30 cents/lb. 67.5 68.0 2.3 COTTON 5/30 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 49.68 51.25 40.4 OIL 6/4 $/bbl. 29.73 28.09 20.5 CRB FOODSTUFFS 6/3 1967=100 240.25 237.03 19.0 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 6/3 1967=100 259.81 259.81 8.9

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 6/4 2.9160 3.0120 2.6085 BRITISH POUND 6/4 1.63 1.64 1.46 CANADIAN DOLLAR 6/4 1.36 1.38 1.53 EUROPEAN EURO 6/4 1.1643 1.1758 0.9455 JAPANESE YEN 6/4 118.91 118.58 124.28 KOREAN WON 6/4 1200.4 1200.4 1224.4 MEXICAN PESO 6/4 10.573 10.372 9.765 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 6/4 96.1 103.6 117.7

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 6/3 1.21% 1.32% 1.73% COMMERCIAL PAPER 6/3 3-month 1.18 1.19 1.79 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 6/4 3-month 1.18 1.22 1.81 FIXED MORTGAGE 5/30 30-year 5.50 5.50 6.84 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 5/30 one-year 3.82 3.84 5.07 PRIME 5/30 4.25 4.25 4.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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