Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 5/10 thous. of net tons 1,919 1,853# 0.5 AUTOS 5/10 units 94,824 99,650r# -12.9 TRUCKS 5/10 units 157,708 157,329r# 1.0 ELECTRIC POWER 5/10 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 68,070 65,329# 2.4 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 5/10 thous. of bbl./day 15,428 15,447# 2.7 COAL 5/3 thous. of net tons 20,532# 20,184 2.8 LUMBER 5/3 millions of ft. 506.4# 505.6 -1.0 RAIL FREIGHT 5/3 billions of ton-miles 29.0# 28.7 2.5

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 5/2 1992=100 121.8 119.4r -0.7 STOCK PRICES 5/9 S&P 500 933.4 930.1 -11.5 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 5/9 5.4% 5.5% -20.2 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 4/28 billions $5,953.8 $5,909.3r 8.3 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 5/9 thous. 417 430r -1.9 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 5/9 415.2 416.0 16.5 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 5/9 7250.0 6077.8 365.9

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 5/14 $/troy oz. 353.550 341.850 14.7 STEEL SCRAP 5/13 #1 heavy, $/ton 108.00 117.17 23.9 COPPER 5/9 cents/lb. 76.9 76.3 0.5 ALUMINUM 5/9 cents/lb. 66.5 65.8 0.0 COTTON 5/9 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 50.09 53.36 65.7 OIL 5/14 $/bbl. 28.79 25.92 3.5 CRB FOODSTUFFS 5/13 1967=100 241.48 235.31 23.1 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 5/13 1967=100 257.16 255.68 11.0

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 5/14 2.8905 2.9475 2.5050 BRITISH POUND 5/14 1.62 1.60 1.46 CANADIAN DOLLAR 5/14 1.37 1.40 1.55 EUROPEAN EURO 5/14 1.1488 1.1356 0.9127 JAPANESE YEN 5/14 116.32 116.44 127.53 KOREAN WON 5/14 1200.1 1199.0 1264.8 MEXICAN PESO 5/14 10.271 10.207 9.463 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 5/14 103.6 104.7 120.6

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 5/13 1.23% 1.28% 1.69% COMMERCIAL PAPER 5/13 3-month 1.21 1.19 1.81 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 5/14 3-month 1.26 1.24 1.84 FIXED MORTGAGE 5/9 30-year 5.74 5.79 6.90 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 5/9 one-year 3.94 3.96 5.10 PRIME 5/9 4.25 4.25 4.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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