Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 5/3 thous. of net tons 1,853 1,822# -2.0 AUTOS 5/3 units 99,271 88,482r# -14.4 TRUCKS 5/3 units 155,990 138,475r# 0.3 ELECTRIC POWER 5/3 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 65,329 63,913# -0.1 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 5/3 thous. of bbl./day 15,447 15,261# 2.0 COAL 4/26 thous. of net tons 20,184# 20,424 0.3 LUMBER 4/26 millions of ft. 505.6# 480.2 -5.8 RAIL FREIGHT 4/26 billions of ton-miles 28.7# 28.3 0.0

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 4/25 1992=100 119.5 119.0r -2.3 STOCK PRICES 5/2 S&P 500 930.1 898.8 -13.4 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 5/2 5.5% 5.6% -17.4 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 4/21 billions $5,910.2 $5,894.2r 8.0 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 5/2 thous. 425 453r -100.0 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 5/2 416.0 356.0 8.7 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 5/2 6077.8 5092.0 247.3

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 5/7 $/troy oz. 341.850 336.750 10.1 STEEL SCRAP 5/6 #1 heavy, $/ton 117.17 117.17 40.3 COPPER 5/2 cents/lb. 76.3 76.2 -0.9 ALUMINUM 5/2 cents/lb. 65.8 65.3 -1.9 COTTON 5/2 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 53.36 56.33 76.4 OIL 5/7 $/bbl. 25.92 25.54 -5.9 CRB FOODSTUFFS 5/6 1967=100 235.31 256.60 23.0 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 5/6 1967=100 255.68 235.76 11.9

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 5/7 2.9475 2.9105 2.4492 BRITISH POUND 5/7 1.60 1.60 1.46 CANADIAN DOLLAR 5/7 1.40 1.43 1.57 EUROPEAN EURO 5/7 1.1356 1.1183 0.9079 JAPANESE YEN 5/7 116.44 118.98 128.51 KOREAN WON 5/7 1199.0 1215.3 1279.5 MEXICAN PESO 5/7 10.207 10.290 9.455 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 5/7 104.7 106.8 121.3

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 5/6 1.28% 1.27% 1.72% COMMERCIAL PAPER 5/6 3-month 1.19 1.21 1.82 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 5/7 3-month 1.24 1.26 1.80 FIXED MORTGAGE 5/2 30-year 5.79 5.89 6.88 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 5/2 one-year 3.96 4.02 5.13 PRIME 5/2 4.25 4.25 4.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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