Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 4/5 thous. of net tons 1,948 1,952# 2.1 AUTOS 4/5 units 94,101 97,530r# -7.5 TRUCKS 4/5 units 159,724 159,731r# 24.9 ELECTRIC POWER 4/5 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 66,921 65,843# 4.1 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 4/5 thous. of bbl./day 15,318 14,886# 4.0 COAL 3/29 thous. of net tons 20,575# 19,338 2.2 LUMBER 3/29 millions of ft. 498.5# 502.7r -4.7 RAIL FREIGHT 3/29 billions of ton-miles 29.8# 28.5 5.7

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 3/28 1992=100 119.2 120.5r -1.7 STOCK PRICES 4/4 S&P 500 878.9 863.5 -21.7 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 4/4 5.8% 5.9% -13.8 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 3/24 billions $5,892.4 $5,906.4r 7.3 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 4/4 thous. 405 443r -8.8 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 4/4 400.8 364.7 20.4 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 4/4 6162.8 6484.6 407.9

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 4/9 $/troy oz. 321.350 329.300 7.8 STEEL SCRAP 4/8 #1 heavy, $/ton 119.17 119.17 42.7 COPPER 4/4 cents/lb. 75.7 78.9 -1.9 ALUMINUM 4/4 cents/lb. 65.3 67.0 -1.9 COTTON 4/4 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 56.96 55.84 63.5 OIL 4/9 $/bbl. 28.65 28.66 10.4 CRB FOODSTUFFS 4/8 1967=100 235.99 233.03 18.1 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 4/8 1967=100 258.45 258.61 13.1

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 4/9 3.1930 3.2600 2.2725 BRITISH POUND 4/9 1.56 1.57 1.44 CANADIAN DOLLAR 4/9 1.47 1.47 1.59 EUROPEAN EURO 4/9 1.0773 1.0769 0.8837 JAPANESE YEN 4/9 120.08 118.96 131.55 KOREAN WON 4/9 1252.2 1254.1 1330.5 MEXICAN PESO 4/9 10.770 10.646 9.085 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 4/9 109.4 109.2 123.8

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 4/8 1.22% 1.29% 1.68% COMMERCIAL PAPER 4/8 3-month 1.19 1.17 1.84 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 4/9 3-month 1.23 1.26 1.88 FIXED MORTGAGE 4/4 30-year 5.92 6.00 7.21 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 4/4 one-year 4.04 4.09 5.46 PRIME 4/4 4.25 4.25 4.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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