Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 3/22 thous. of net tons 1,972 2,009# -0.9 AUTOS 3/22 units 100,391 92,167r# -8.9 TRUCKS 3/22 units 160,673 160,294r# 5.3 ELECTRIC POWER 3/22 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 66,415 70,795# -2.1 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 3/22 thous. of bbl./day 14,782 14,731# 4.4 COAL 3/15 thous. of net tons 21,087# 20,241 7.3 LUMBER 3/15 millions of ft. 497.3# 497.1r -7.6 RAIL FREIGHT 3/15 billions of ton-miles 29.5# 28.4 4.6

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 3/14 1992=100 118.2 118.5r -3.0 STOCK PRICES 3/21 S&P 500 895.8 833.3 -22.0 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 3/21 6.0% 5.8% -12.4 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 3/10 billions $5,890.0 $5,894.1r 7.2 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 3/21 thous. 402 427r 1.5 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 3/21 383.7 347.3 16.1 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 3/21 8135.7 9387.0 460.9

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 3/26 $/troy oz. 329.950 335.800 10.4 STEEL SCRAP 3/25 #1 heavy, $/ton 119.17 119.17 55.1 COPPER 3/21 cents/lb. 81.0 79.5 1.3 ALUMINUM 3/21 cents/lb. 66.3 68.8 -2.6 COTTON 3/21 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 58.09 58.59 62.1 OIL 3/26 $/bbl. 28.48 30.03 11.1 CRB FOODSTUFFS 3/25 1967=100 232.10 234.89 14.4 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 3/25 1967=100 260.69 261.43 12.2

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 3/26 3.3815 3.4665 2.3185 BRITISH POUND 3/26 1.57 1.57 1.42 CANADIAN DOLLAR 3/26 1.47 1.48 1.60 EUROPEAN EURO 3/26 1.0690 1.0568 0.8724 JAPANESE YEN 3/26 119.94 120.43 132.64 KOREAN WON 3/26 1244.4 1256.9 1324.5 MEXICAN PESO 3/26 10.725 10.844 9.012 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 3/26 109.6 110.1 124.2

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 3/25 1.24% 1.20% 1.71% COMMERCIAL PAPER 3/25 3-month 1.18 1.21 1.91 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 3/26 3-month 1.25 1.23 1.96 FIXED MORTGAGE 3/21 30-year 5.97 5.75 7.23 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 3/21 one-year 4.06 3.96 5.44 PRIME 3/21 4.25 4.25 4.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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