Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 2/22 thous. of net tons 1,959 1,992# 3.4 AUTOS 2/22 units 87,589 96,308r# -24.3 TRUCKS 2/22 units 155,467 158,780r# 7.7 ELECTRIC POWER 2/22 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 73,816 75,953# 9.6 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 2/22 thous. of bbl./day 14,504 14,321# -0.3 COAL 2/15 thous. of net tons 20,527# 20,599 -1.2 LUMBER 2/15 millions of ft. 512.3# 517.1r 4.5 RAIL FREIGHT 2/15 billions of ton-miles 28.9# 28.7 0.0

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison ElectricInstitute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 2/14 1992=100 119.5 119.9 0.2 STOCK PRICES 2/21 S&P 500 848.2 834.9 -22.2 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 2/21 6.0% 6.0% -7.7 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 2/10 billions $5,860.9 $5,850.6r 6.9 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 2/21 thous. 417 406r 9.4 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 2/21 309.0 334.1 -2.1 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 2/21 5989.6 5438.1 211.7

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 2/26 $/troy oz. 351.900 346.000 18.5 STEEL SCRAP 2/25 #1 heavy, $/ton 114.17 114.17 51.2 COPPER 2/21 cents/lb. 79.4 80.6 6.2 ALUMINUM 2/21 cents/lb. 68.3 69.3 5.8 COTTON 2/21 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 55.74 54.74 82.8 OIL 2/26 $/bbl. 37.38 36.84 77.0 CRB FOODSTUFFS 2/25 1967=100 232.19 238.45 15.8 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 2/25 1967=100 261.37 257.53 15.9

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 2/26 3.5810 3.6100 2.3560 BRITISH POUND 2/26 1.58 1.60 1.41 CANADIAN DOLLAR 2/26 1.49 1.51 1.60 EUROPEAN EURO 2/26 1.0791 1.0747 0.8637 JAPANESE YEN 2/26 117.17 118.73 133.99 KOREAN WON 2/26 1188.6 1195.0 1318.8 MEXICAN PESO 2/26 11.035 10.824 9.132 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 2/26 108.7 110.0 125.0

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 2/25 1.28% 1.35% 1.77% COMMERCIAL PAPER 2/25 3-month 1.24 1.23 1.78 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 2/26 3-month 1.26 1.27 1.82 FIXED MORTGAGE 2/21 30-year 5.94 5.95 6.91 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 2/21 one-year 4.15 4.14 5.18 PRIME 2/21 4.25 4.25 4.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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