Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

STEEL 2/15 thous. of net tons 1,992 2,018# 6.3 AUTOS 2/15 units 96,502 86,930r# -12.0 TRUCKS 2/15 units 156,237 161,558r# 15.9 ELECTRIC POWER 2/15 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 75,953 74,257# 9.4 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 2/15 thous. of bbl./day 14,321 13,961# -0.6 COAL 2/8 thous. of net tons 20,599# 19,942 2.4 LUMBER 2/8 millions of ft. 561.6# 525.2r 12.3 RAIL FREIGHT 2/8 billions of ton-miles 28.7# 28.4 3.2

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

ECRI LEADING INDEX 2/7 1992=100 119.9 120.6r 0.3 STOCK PRICES 2/14 S&P 500 834.9 829.7 -24.4 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 2/14 6.0% 6.0% -7.6 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 2/3 billions $5,850.5 $5,846.3r 6.9 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 2/14 thous. 402 381r 11.4 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 2/14 334.1 328.8 15.1 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 2/14 5438.1 5470.3 182.1

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Federal Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

GOLD 2/19 $/troy oz. 346.000 356.300 18.8 STEEL SCRAP 2/18 #1 heavy, $/ton 114.17 114.17 51.2 COPPER 2/14 cents/lb. 80.6 81.5 3.6 ALUMINUM 2/14 cents/lb. 69.3 69.0 6.5 COTTON 2/14 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 54.74 54.32 68.9 OIL 2/19 $/bbl. 36.84 35.44 83.6 CRB FOODSTUFFS 2/18 1967=100 238.45 238.40 17.1 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 2/18 1967=100 257.53 258.05 16.7

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

BRAZILIAN REAL 2/19 3.6100 3.6070 2.4253 BRITISH POUND 2/19 1.60 1.62 1.42 CANADIAN DOLLAR 2/19 1.51 1.53 1.59 EUROPEAN EURO 2/19 1.0747 1.0713 0.8708 JAPANESE YEN 2/19 118.73 121.45 134.39 KOREAN WON 2/19 1195.0 1199.5 1320.0 MEXICAN PESO 2/19 10.824 10.952 9.070 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 2/19 110.0 110.5 125.4

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

FEDERAL FUNDS 2/18 1.35% 1.22% 1.77% COMMERCIAL PAPER 2/18 3-month 1.23 1.25 1.82 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 2/19 3-month 1.27 1.26 1.82 FIXED MORTGAGE 2/14 30-year 5.95 6.00 6.98 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 2/14 one-year 4.14 4.19 5.25 PRIME 2/14 4.25 4.25 4.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

# Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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